Issued to
Szymon Myrta
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Credential Verification
Issue date: November 17, 2025
ID: c5d3e661-c00a-4d36-89db-79bd3a18c8c7

Issued by
R/Pharma
R/Pharma is a scientifically & industry oriented, collegial online conference focused on the use of R in the development of pharmaceuticals, with breakout in-person and APAC satellite events.
Type
Training
Level
Advanced
Format
Online
Duration
120 minutes
Price
Free
Description
Bayesian inference and Stan offer many advantages for analyzing time-to-event data, including incorporating prior knowledge into the model, propagating all sources of uncertainty to produce well-calibrated predictions, and integrating arbitrary utility functions for optimal decision-making, such as patients' preferences for different types of risks. The latter point is particularly relevant in multistate models where people may differ in their preferences towards multiple competing events. In this workshop, we will briefly introduce Bayesian workflow – the typical steps in Bayesian analysis and basic (single-event) survival models in the Bayesian context. We will then proceed to introduce multistate models where we are tracking multiple event types, such as bleeding and stroke in cardiovascular trials, or stable disease, progressive disease, and death in oncology trials. Time permitting, we will demonstrate how to incorporate the patient’s utility function into a decision analysis.
Skills
Bayesian Inference
Bayesian Workflow
Decision Analysis
Multistate Models
Patient-Centered Modeling
Prior Integration
Predictive Modeling
R Programming
Risk Preference Modeling
Stan
Survival Analysis
Time-to-Event Data
Earning Criteria
Participation
Attending and completing 75% of class objectives