Open Source in Pharma 2025 Training Badge
Bayesian Survival and Multistate Models using R and Stan

Distributed by:

Issued to

Szymon Myrta

Want to report a typo or a mistake?

Credential Verification

Issue date: November 17, 2025

ID: c5d3e661-c00a-4d36-89db-79bd3a18c8c7

R/Pharma logo

Issued by

VERIFIED

R/Pharma

R/Pharma is a scientifically & industry oriented, collegial online conference focused on the use of R in the development of pharmaceuticals, with breakout in-person and APAC satellite events.

Type

Training

Level

Advanced

Format

Online

Duration

120 minutes

Price

Free

Description

Bayesian inference and Stan offer many advantages for analyzing time-to-event data, including incorporating prior knowledge into the model, propagating all sources of uncertainty to produce well-calibrated predictions, and integrating arbitrary utility functions for optimal decision-making, such as patients' preferences for different types of risks. The latter point is particularly relevant in multistate models where people may differ in their preferences towards multiple competing events. In this workshop, we will briefly introduce Bayesian workflow – the typical steps in Bayesian analysis and basic (single-event) survival models in the Bayesian context. We will then proceed to introduce multistate models where we are tracking multiple event types, such as bleeding and stroke in cardiovascular trials, or stable disease, progressive disease, and death in oncology trials. Time permitting, we will demonstrate how to incorporate the patient’s utility function into a decision analysis.

Skills

Bayesian Inference

Bayesian Workflow

Decision Analysis

Multistate Models

Patient-Centered Modeling

Prior Integration

Predictive Modeling

R Programming

Risk Preference Modeling

Stan

Survival Analysis

Time-to-Event Data

Earning Criteria

Participation

Attending and completing 75% of class objectives